Mal Fletcher considers on how Brexit should be handled.
"I cannot give you a formula for success," said Herbert Bayard
Swope, "but I can give you the formula for failure, which is: try to
please everybody."
Rarely in its recent history
has the UK needed leadership that's aware of that maxim as much as it
does right now.
In the lead-up to Brexit negotiations and
the inevitable emotional, economic and political highs and lows they
will produce, this country needs bold leadership. I mean leadership as
distinct from political management.
Of course, leadership
and management are both valuable assets in times of potentially
seismic change. However, only leadership will facilitate a proactive,
inclusive, reassuring and empowering move toward the future.
As I wrote in the immediate aftermath of the Brexit vote, management
is focused on metrics, benchmarks, measurable targets and tactics.
Leadership is fundamentally aligned more with shaping mindsets,
discovering entirely new ways of doing things and mapping out
longer-term strategies.
Management is, generally speaking,
about structural engineering. Leadership is about cultural
architecture; building a different cultural milieu in which people
feel that they have the confidence and security to innovate and
prosper.
The UK has been a part of the European Union and
the EEC before it for forty years. The first test of whether the UK
will flourish outside of the EU club will be the type of leadership it
produces from here - in politics, civil service, business, the economy
and much more.
As Brexit negotiations begin, this
country - and Europe as a whole - will require a brand of leadership
that is marked firstly by an ability to unite people, promoting
inclusion without seeking to ignore cultural or aspirational
differences.
In the UK's referendum the voting result was 52 percent for "remain"
to 48 percent for "leave". This reflects how divided the community has
become - on regional and, to some degree, generational lines.
The division is seen within local communities and even,
reportedly, within families. Thankfully, most British people are far
too sensible to allow emotions to spill out into violent protest or
even unhelpful forms of civil disobedience.
Our politicos
will be aware, however, that social cohesion is already fragile on
some fronts. There is much discussion already about technology,
health, wealth and opportunity gaps, which are widening for some
sections of the community - and not just the poorest. We should hope
that getting the best deal from Brexit will unite us more than it
divides us.
For our political leaders, the challenge of
promoting unity begins at home, in their own House. Many of the
loudest calls for a second referendum have come from within or around
Westminster - from MPs, leaders of political parties and even a former
Prime Minister or two.
Meanwhile, there has been talk -
it's not treated terribly seriously by pundits - of a possible general
election if Parliament does not ratify the Government's final EU
strategy.
Given the relative weakness of Her Majesty's
Opposition and the fact that the Labour leader basically sided with
the "leave" campaign by default anyway, this seems very unlikely.
However, any serious stalemates within Parliament over
negotiating positions might at least inspire Europhiles of all Parties
to take advantage of public confusion and campaign for a second
referendum.
A second vote would be in nobody's
best interests, least of all those of the British voters, the majority
of whom would hopefully see it as a giant exercise in political
expediency and hypocrisy.
It is disingenuous to
say, as some anti-Brexiteers are saying now, that we should not have
had an EU referendum in the first place - because we are not governed
by plebiscite but by elected MPs - and then to demand a second
referendum.
When Britons voted to leave the EU, they were
not expressing an opinion but issuing an instruction to Parliament.
The Parliament decided to grant the citizenry the right to make the
decision on our ongoing EU membership.
By voting one way
or the other, Brits were not merely expressing a preference, they were
presenting an order to their elected representatives. MPs are charged
with acting on that instruction, whatever their personal views. They
are, after all, servants of the people - or they're meant to be.
Theresa May and her government will need to navigate the choppy
waters inside Parliament with skill and courage. They may even, in one
respect, need to take a leaf from the playbook of one D.J. Trump. They
might do well, at times, to take a two tiered approach to the domestic
debate; drip-feeding then defending their basic intentions directly to
the public, while simultaneously presenting the detail before
Parliament.
This may not seem the British way and I gather
very few people here would want to see Mrs May become a Twitterphile
in the ilk of the new US President. Yet the public must be brought
along on the journey and the Government must use all the technology at
its command, including old and new media, to keep lines of
communication open, to persuade rather than cajole.
We the
people (as they like to say across the pond) do not need to have a say
on every detail - that's what MPs are paid to do. We do, however, need
to have a sense of collective ownership of a process that will, after
all, impact our children and grandchildren more than ourselves,
hopefully (but not inevitably) for the better.
The
other thing our leaders must do in the lead-up to Brexit, is to avoid
any expressions of elitism.
The Brexit vote was a
product of a number of factors, some social, others economic and even
emotional. One of those was an anti-establishment feeling; a sense
that the governing classes were ignoring the needs of the people who
had elected them.
This same "out-of-touch" viewpoint was
boosted by the MPs expenses scandal of a decade ago. It now affects
other major institutions in British society, including the courts, the
police, business and the media. Since the great recession, it has
contributed to a general trust deficit which casts a shadow at times
over almost every foundational British institution.
Arguably, the EU did not help itself win favour prior to (and
following) the Brexit vote. In recent decades, the EU has time and
again over-stepped the mark where national sensibilities - if not
sovereignty - are concerned. Its top layer has behaved with an
attitude of exclusion.
Some of its most outspoken leaders
have pushed not only an openly federalist agenda. This despite the
fact that federalism was never a major plank of the Union for which
member states signed up.
"Ever closer union" has long featured in EU and EEC documents,
but has never been clearly defined in any official way. Yet from their
personal pronouncements, we can see that some career EU leaders want
it to mean "European empire".
Going into the
referendum, many Europhiles within the UK - myself included -
considered ever closer union to be a good thing if it meant a
close-knit trading group of interdependent nation-states. But we were
less enthusiastic about an ever closer political union, with largely
unelected bureaucrats at its apex.
The EU has sometimes
brazenly ignored the results of national referenda on new treaties. It
has clumsily sidestepped rejection using technicalities. The EU has
had its fair share of successes - most notably in promoting internal
travel, dialogue, trade, security and above all peace. These should
not be underappreciated - especially the last.
Most
recently, though, it has shown arrogance in its initial handling of
the migration question and in its efforts to solve common problems
through elitist back-channel tactics. Angela Merkel's negotiations
with Turkey, for example, were well intentioned, but they were
perceived by some citizens in the EU as unrepresentative and
unsupportable.
During the UK's referendum, this perceived
arrogance made it hard for some friends of the EU to make a case in
its defence.
If Britain's domestic politicos are to
navigate the choppy waters of Brexit, they will need to shape
negotiation positions that are inclusive in tone and intent, while not
vague in terms of strategic goals.
They will need to
promote friendship with the EU and an ongoing commitment to the common
good for Europe as a whole, refusing to see negotiation as a zero-sum,
winner-takes-all game.
They must do this, though, without
backing down on bottom-line negotiating positions. There must be none
of Barack Obama's talk of "red-lines", which turn out to be nothing
more than pink smudges.
In the immediate wake of the
Brexit vote, I reflected that the British spirit of pluck in times of
deep uncertainty has become legendary. The UK's ability to produce
highly creative entrepreneurs, inventors and disruptive thinkers has
earned kudos the world over. It's high time those qualities were
embodied in and projected by the nation's leaders.
Our government will need to promote unity, but it cannot
please everyone - and it shouldn't waste time trying. Mrs. May shows
signs of being up to the task. Let's hope her Cabinet, Party and
Parliamentary colleagues will also rise to the occasion and inspire
us, as one diverse yet cohesive nation, to do the same.